Tulcard wrote:There's nothing set in stone that Rosenthal won't be back, or won't be re-signed.
From the PD:
"Rosenthal's contract expires at the end of this season, though the Cardinals do maintain one more year of control over the righthander. He will be eligible for arbitration this winter, meaning that process will influence his salary as much as the injury."
Nothing is set in stone, but the writing is on the wall. Mixing metaphors!
They cut Maness who was making $1.4M last year when he was expected back early in the year. You have to figure he would have taken a one year deal at the same price point. The minimum the Cardinals can pay Rosenthal next season without non-tendering him and putting him in free agency is about $5M. Rosenthal's out a year, so the only way Rosenthal returns is a two-year deal that provides the Cardinals a cheap 2018 season packed with incentives.
But then consider the model for this is Greg Holland. Holland's deal with the Rockies was $7M/1 + incentives + option. Holland has so far earned another $6M in incentives and the team option has vested to a $15M player option which, if he duplicates his 2017 season next year, is looking like a $20M+ payday after incentives for Holland next year.
That will be similar to what Boras will look for. And the Cardinals aren't going to put themselves in a situation where they'll pay $20M for a year of a relief pitcher.
I've suggested $10M/2 + $1M for every 10 games finished + $1M for every 10 innings pitched. But even still, a solid season for Rosenthal results in roughly a $20M investment.I don't see the Cardinals paying that.
And even if they were, as we always seem surprised to learn in free agency, there's always another team willing to go further.